Results:
Started out slow, picked up, and then someone decided to crash a few items. I still profited, but I lost out on 30m of potential profits. It would have been fun to clear 400m today, but oh well. I also missed out on the US TZ evenings, which is always a nice time to make some quick flips as people come home to unload and stock up.
Now for some more info on my character.
Trade Skills:
- Accounting 3
- Broker Relations 4
- Marketing 2
- Retail 4
- Trade 4
And now, Charts! I have been tracking all of this using the wonderful program Excel. I love Excel. It does maths and makes charts. My main book tracks the stats I give in results everyday, and lets me “keep score” against myself. Two graphics I use are shown below, and to reiterate, I track:
- Ending Isk (Sell Orders + Buy Orders + Cash)
- Sell Orders
- Buy Orders
- Cash
- Liquid Isk (Cash + Buy Orders)
- PLEXline (PLEX Sell Order / 30 Days * Current Day)
- PLEX Goal (Plex Order)
- Margin
Overall Results
Daily Margin
The PLEXline is the lowest value of a PLEX that I can buy in the region I am in, plotted from $0 at day 0 and increasing each day by the PLEX value divided by 30, and multiplied by the day I am on in the month. That means on day 15, the PLEXline is 245m isk, based on a lowest PLEX value of 490m. This lets me see the pace at which I need to make isk to pay for the account, and how far above or below that amount I am on any given day.
The PLEX Goal is just a horizontal gate I need to reach to give a relative idea of where I am overall.
The Margin graph shows my actual gain each day relative to my starting isk amount.
Fun fact: The buy order and cash line are mirror images of each other. This makes sense if you think about it for a while. They are simply two sides of the same pool of money varying based on how much I am investing into the market.
An important note in all of this is that I track Liquid Isk separately from Ending Isk. I do this because Sell Orders have no real value, they are only the estimate of how much I stand to gain when I complete all the Sell Orders. Liquid Isk is what I could actually spend if I cancelled every Buy Order. I do not include assests or the real value of Sell Orders, as the real value of those would be the highest buy rates, and that’s a lot of extra typing in Excel. I tracked the “real isk” amount for two days and stopped. Most of my margins sit in the 25% to 50% range, so I guess a useful estimate of real isk would be (and the graph):
Buy Orders + Cash + Sell Orders * .65
The graph:
How much isk I actually have?
One last chart. I fit a trendline to my current data, and this is what happens:
I can haz PLEX?
The PLEXline will be crossed on day 21. Not too shabby.
Also, as a bonus, here is the EveHQ Prism Report of everything I have completed some form of transaction on. I have no idea how accurate it is, but I wanted to add it to show that I am not doing anything exotic.
| Transaction Trading Report | |||
| from Monday, April 09, 2012 to Thursday, April 26, 2012 | |||
| Item | Amount Traded | Average Unit Profit | Total Profit |
| 100MN Afterburner II | 10.00 | 696,441.72 | 6,964,417.21 |
| 10MN MicroWarpdrive II | 2.00 | 168,664.68 | 337,329.36 |
| 1200mm Artillery Cannon I | 7.00 | 334,995.60 | 2,344,969.17 |
| 1200mm Artillery Cannon II | 12.00 | 1,229,084.83 | 14,749,017.98 |
| 1200mm Heavy ‘Scout’ Artillery I | 3.00 | 760,119.10 | 2,280,357.30 |
| 125mm Prototype Gauss Gun | 6.00 | 136,897.88 | 821,387.30 |
| 1400mm Gallium Cannon | 8.00 | 458,853.80 | 3,670,830.38 |
| 1400mm ‘Scout’ Artillery I | 13.00 | 807,271.50 | 10,494,529.46 |
| 150mm Light AutoCannon I | 70.00 | 24,171.72 | 1,692,020.58 |
| 150mm Light ‘Scout’ Autocannon I | 5.00 | 401,670.29 | 2,008,351.45 |
| 1MN Afterburner II | 10.00 | 528,613.80 | 5,286,138.03 |
| 200mm Compressed Coil Gun I | 14.00 | 95,853.95 | 1,341,955.32 |
| 200mm Light Carbine Repeating Cannon I | 20.00 | 198,975.35 | 3,979,506.96 |
| 200mm Railgun II | 5.00 | 640,696.27 | 3,203,481.37 |
| 200mm ‘Scout’ Accelerator Cannon | 10.00 | 153,799.95 | 1,537,999.53 |
| 250mm Light Artillery Cannon I | 20.00 | 52,497.07 | 1,049,941.41 |
| 350mm Compressed Coil Gun I | 5.00 | 698,689.97 | 3,493,449.85 |
| 425mm AutoCannon II | 58.00 | 329,119.97 | 19,088,958.43 |
| 425mm Medium Gallium Machine Gun | 10.00 | 471,987.32 | 4,719,873.18 |
| 650mm Artillery Cannon II | 4.00 | 228,790.37 | 915,161.48 |
| 650mm Medium ‘Scout’ Artillery I | 1.00 | 2,667,239.76 | 2,667,239.76 |
| 720mm Howitzer Artillery II | 6.00 | 646,737.61 | 3,880,425.67 |
| Adaptive Invulnerability Field II | 68.00 | 157,413.69 | 10,704,130.74 |
| Advanced ‘Limos’ Heavy Missile Bay I | 51.00 | 251,540.95 | 12,828,588.43 |
| Anode Electron Particle Cannon I | 5.00 | 362,997.51 | 1,814,987.55 |
| Anode Neutron Particle Cannon I | 15.00 | 360,456.20 | 5,406,842.98 |
| Arkonor Mining Crystal II | 3.00 | 496,999.20 | 1,490,997.60 |
| Basic Energized Adaptive Nano Membrane | 36.00 | 65,316.19 | 2,351,382.99 |
| Beta Reactor Control: Capacitor Power Relay I | 10.00 | 143,621.09 | 1,436,210.89 |
| Beta Reactor Control: Diagnostic System I | 10.00 | 134,489.90 | 1,344,898.95 |
| Cap Recharger I | 78.00 | 20,190.13 | 1,574,829.98 |
| Command Processor I | 10.00 | 304,994.96 | 3,049,949.55 |
| Conflagration L | 10.00 | 332,865.95 | 3,328,659.50 |
| Covert Ops Cloaking Device II | 3.00 | 1,466,335.07 | 4,399,005.21 |
| Damage Control I | 6.00 | 452.02 | 2,712.12 |
| Drone Synaptic Relay Wiring | 171 | 2.1 | 359.1 |
| Dual 180mm AutoCannon I | 23.00 | 109,948.96 | 2,528,825.99 |
| Dual 250mm Prototype Gauss Gun | 20.00 | 55,231.23 | 1,104,624.67 |
| Dual 650mm Repeating Artillery II | 8.00 | 1,038,092.90 | 8,304,743.23 |
| Dual Heavy Modulated Pulse Energy Beam I | 10.00 | 324,178.02 | 3,241,780.23 |
| Dual Light Pulse Laser II | 25.00 | 234,712.98 | 5,867,824.46 |
| Dual Modulated Pulse Energy Beam I | 13.00 | 443,497.86 | 5,765,472.21 |
| Electron Blaster Cannon II | 3.00 | 988,993.19 | 2,966,979.56 |
| Expanded Probe Launcher II | 3.00 | 1,875,631.86 | 5,626,895.57 |
| Experimental 100MN Afterburner I | 50.00 | 51,279.43 | 2,563,971.37 |
| Experimental 10MN MicroWarpdrive I | 150.00 | 71,752.98 | 10,762,947.68 |
| Experimental 1MN Afterburner I | 157.00 | 33,494.67 | 5,258,663.82 |
| F-90 Positional Sensor Subroutines | 1 | -0.01 | -0.01 |
| Fleeting Propulsion Inhibitor I | 4.00 | 1,599,994.47 | 6,399,977.86 |
| Heat Sink I | 50.00 | 18,319.04 | 915,952.14 |
| Heavy Modulated Energy Beam I | 10.00 | 223,806.74 | 2,238,067.43 |
| Heavy Unstable Power Fluctuator I | 15.00 | 186,308.13 | 2,794,621.93 |
| Ion Blaster Cannon II | 9.00 | 538,250.56 | 4,844,255.05 |
| Kernite Mining Crystal II | 7.00 | 190,701.46 | 1,334,910.21 |
| Kinetic Deflection Amplifier II | 5.00 | 189,998.69 | 949,993.44 |
| Large Armor Repairer I | 60.00 | 260,078.24 | 15,604,694.11 |
| Large Automated Carapace Restoration | 20 | -1.01 | -20.2 |
| Large Energy Transfer Array II | 9.00 | 963,890.86 | 8,675,017.74 |
| Large Remote Armor Repair System II | 5.00 | 458,622.08 | 2,293,110.40 |
| Large Shield Booster II | 6.00 | 255,266.13 | 1,531,596.75 |
| Light Electron Blaster I | 100.00 | 10,919.84 | 1,091,983.89 |
| Light Electron Blaster II | 2.00 | 526,061.25 | 1,052,122.50 |
| Light Neutron Blaster I | 288.00 | 24,411.14 | 7,030,407.57 |
| Mark I Generator Refitting: Diagnostic System | 100.00 | 13,322.19 | 1,332,219.34 |
| Medium Anode Pulse Particle Stream I | 10.00 | 76,479.45 | 764,794.50 |
| Medium Inefficient Armor Repair Unit | 19.00 | 17,678.86 | 335,898.30 |
| Medium Modulated Pulse Energy Beam I | 4.00 | 819,009.95 | 3,276,039.80 |
| Medium Nanobot Accelerator I | 5.00 | 875,687.91 | 4,378,439.54 |
| Medium Pulse Laser II | 33.00 | 358,652.64 | 11,835,537.14 |
| Medium Remote Armor Repair System II | 5.00 | 547,998.41 | 2,739,992.07 |
| Medium Semiconductor Memory Cell I | 1.00 | 2,147,877.19 | 2,147,877.19 |
| Micro Auxiliary Power Core I | 10.00 | 88,996.35 | 889,963.50 |
| Micro Auxiliary Power Core II | 5.00 | 1,867,970.90 | 9,339,854.51 |
| Mining Laser Upgrade II | 18.00 | 737,279.38 | 13,271,028.88 |
| Mobile Medium Warp Disruptor I | 3.00 | 1,279,051.74 | 3,837,155.21 |
| Modal Electron Particle Accelerator I | 3.00 | 2,120,966.12 | 6,362,898.37 |
| Modulated Strip Miner II | 20.00 | 1,596,866.37 | 31,937,327.35 |
| Phased Weapon Navigation Array Generation Extron | 12.00 | 1,287,903.89 | 15,454,846.69 |
| Prototype ‘Arbalest’ Heavy Assault Missile Launcher I | 2.00 | 565,279.21 | 1,130,558.41 |
| Prototype Cloaking Device I | 1.00 | 209,993.82 | 209,993.82 |
| Prototype Sensor Booster | 50.00 | 86,737.80 | 4,336,889.79 |
| Scorch M | 2.00 | 194,843.99 | 389,687.98 |
| Scorch S | 4.00 | 186,791.91 | 747,167.64 |
| Shield Boost Amplifier I | 10.00 | 169,872.73 | 1,698,727.27 |
| Shield Boost Amplifier II | 9.00 | 111,651.74 | 1,004,865.64 |
| Shield Power Relay I | 100.00 | 20,028.50 | 2,002,849.58 |
| Shield Power Relay II | 10.00 | 158,981.66 | 1,589,816.64 |
| Shield Recharger II | 36.00 | 63,734.36 | 2,294,437.07 |
| Small Auxiliary Thrusters I | 10.00 | 67,691.84 | 676,918.40 |
| Small Cargohold Optimization I | 2.00 | 349,998.97 | 699,997.94 |
| Small Energy Neutralizer II | 5.00 | 636,564.96 | 3,182,824.79 |
| Small Shield Booster II | 4.00 | 175,395.40 | 701,581.58 |
| Tachyon Beam Laser II | 4.00 | 1,114,158.30 | 4,456,633.20 |
| Tachyon Modulated Energy Beam I | 45.00 | 260,934.48 | 11,742,051.62 |
| Thermic Dissipation Field II | 26.00 | 258,636.17 | 6,724,540.40 |
| Upgraded 1MN Microwarpdrive I | 5.00 | 41,323.18 | 206,615.92 |
| Warp Core Stabilizer II | 35.00 | 384,619.21 | 13,461,672.34 |
| Warp Scrambler II | 2.00 | 299,888.33 | 599,776.65 |
| X-Large C5-L Emergency Shield Overload I | 10.00 | 753,397.99 | 7,533,979.93 |
| X-Large Shield Booster II | 15 | 581,089.96 | 8,716,349.34 |
It’s nice to see you module breakdown.
I am amazed when I compare the unit profit you made on some modules with the current margin and see how much it has shrunk in just 3 weeks or less.
I find that even if I thought I had a diversified portfolio it’s far from looking like yours. Maybe I should track my orders more, I find I have a hard time rememberin a module if I don’t have it either in my Buy orders or Assets
Margins do move around a lot. Players with isk and inventory can artificially lower or raise a price, force everyone out, then relist once everyone else is gone. They key for me has been to not ever get more than about 20m into any one asset. Every time I have gone over that, I’ve gotten burned.
I also troll through the market once a day to see if anything new is appearing, and I tend to cancel orders and reinvest if margins narrow below certain levels.